Weekly Briefing Note for Founders 22/5/25

21st May 2025
CATEGORY:

Pitching to a VC robot: how Venture Capital’s new gatekeepers think

Picture this: by the time a human partner even opens your deck, their in‑house algorithm has already decided whether you deserve a pitch meeting. That is not melodrama; it is 2025.

Faced with an increasing torrent of AI opportunities, VC firms from Sand Hill Road to Shoreditch have quietly deputised large‑language‑model agents to patrol the top of the funnel. This is taking 'practising what you preach' to a new level.

PitchBook’s Q1 2025 Global VC First Look report estimates that a remarkable 58 percent of all venture capital last quarter flowed into companies branded “AI”. Yet with deal counts still falling, a cruel irony emerges: the very technology soaking up record funding is helping VCs winnow most founders out of the funnel before a human even sees a deck.

Launch Fund’s Jason Calacanis told his podcast listeners this week that his team now commands “fleets of AI agents” that sift inbound deals before their Monday meeting. At Davos, Lightspeed’s Bejul Somaia warned peers that embracing automation is “a complete change of mindset” rather than a cute add‑on. And Carlyle Group's David Rubenstein added that AI is helping investors make "core decisions" that are "quicker" and "hopefully better." 

If you are still polishing clause‑perfect prose for an analyst who may never see your cold email, remember it's an algorithm that's likely to judge you first.


Why investors are handing the keys to machines

Three trends converged. First, inference costs for GPT‑class models collapsed, so running one hundred thousand model calls in a single day now costs so little it fits comfortably on a Seed fund’s Amex card.

Second, deal flow mushroomed as the AI era took hold - just as many firms slimmed their analyst benches after the 2022 slowdown. They had to find new leverage somewhere.

Third, the tooling went plug‑and‑play: relationship intelligence platforms such as 4Degrees publish step‑by‑step prompt libraries that turn a partner’s thesis into code, ranking companies, warm intro paths and talent‑flow charts in minutes.

What makes these agents truly potent is that every prompt chain encodes the fund’s own investment thesis - the proprietary pattern‑recognition that partners have refined over years - and then fires that logic across thousands of companies at machine speed. AI is not just patrolling the funnel, it's identifying startup targets even before the pitch is created.

With the economics solved, the habit caught on almost overnight.


Inside the American control rooms

Silicon Valley moved first and loudest. SignalFire’s Beacon AI hoovers up hiring curves, GitHub commits and social buzz from more than two million sources; it flags any company that spikes above its cohort and pushes an alert straight to the investment team.

At Sequoia’s AI Ascent 2025 summit, partners highlighted how GPT‑powered agents are already drafting deal memos, clustering portfolio benchmarks and running ad‑hoc “what‑if” market queries - examples of the firm’s drive to make analysis machine‑fast.

Bessemer, determined not to keep its homework secret, published Everything Everywhere All AI, a public diligence roadmap that spells out how partners benchmark AI companies, making their evaluation rubric transparent.

Each firm arrived by a different path; the principle is identical. Outsource the repetitive, structured graft: source scraping, score carding, memo skeletons. Redeploy the humans on judgement, access and conviction.


Europe tunes its own engines

The continent is no laggard. EQT Ventures’ Motherbrain wakes up every morning, scores the entire database of new European companies and pings partners when a traction curve turns north. The self-learning platform is deeply integrated along all steps of the investment funnel and involved in prioritizing and evaluating all investments.

In Berlin, Earlybird’s EagleEye markets itself as “the augmented VC”, threading historical deal knowledge through fresh data so that sourcing, screening and exit timing all happen inside one machine room.

Meanwhile, a growing pack of sub‑£100 million UK and Nordic funds run ChatGPT atop Affinity or 4Degrees to condense decks and spit out IC‑ready outlines in minutes.

European engines lean even harder on public web signals. A sparse LinkedIn profile or dormant GitHub page can veto a pitch long before a principal reaches the inbox.

The motto here is brutal: what is not in the data does not exist.


Life at the robot checkpoint

The new gatekeepers perform five jobs in rapid succession. They scrape hiring, code and social chatter to spot emerging teams. They auto‑classify sector, stage and business model, discarding anything outside a fund’s mandate.

Surviving decks face bespoke prompt chains that benchmark every aspect of the investment proposition; Bessemer’s open sourced rubric is already the gold standard for many. From there, agents draft customer‑intro lists, competitive alerts, and investment‑committee (IC) memo digests for the winners.

Finally, predictive models watch M&A appetite and public‑market multiples, pinging partners when exit conditions look favourable. And the top research platforms are also in on the act. Pitchbook's exit predictor calculates the expected return on investment for a startup compared to other venture-backed companies and predicts the most likely exit type. Earlybird’s EagleEye even suggests exit timing.

Limits still apply. Data bias favours US centric SaaS patterns, so DeepTech or hardware can look underwhelming. The EU AI Act, which began phased enforcement in February, requires firms to keep a human in the loop for any decision that shapes an entrepreneur’s livelihood. The shortlist is shorter, but people still approve the final yes. 


How Duet helps founders beat the algorithm

VCs use AI to thin the queue; Duet’s copilots helps founders jump it.

We're developing a toolset of AI copilots that merge insights from proprietary databases like Pitchbook with our own advisory frameworks, providing highly tailored advice across a growing range of startup topics:

Our first model assesses investment readiness. It encodes the four‑pillars framework shared in the 21 November 2024 briefing note: The Problem‑Solution thesis is the foundation. On top sit the four pillars: Product‑Market‑fit journey, Go‑to‑Market strategy, Business‑Model economics, and finally Team capability. The copilot grades all these elements in a scorecard, producing a red‑amber‑green heat‑map with key recommendations.

Constantly retraining on the latest market intelligence, this copilot nudges pillar weightings up or down as the market swings. This quarter it boosts go‑to‑market efficiency thresholds for AI infrastructure plays and tightens burn‑multiple tolerance for SaaS, amongst many others.

Another model helps founders build compelling investment materials. Founders drop a draft deck or financial model and first receive a top level thematic review. In the case of the investor pitch, slide by slide optimisation is then suggested as this develops - accounting for both agentic and human audiences.

Our most advanced model combines the power of bespoke prompts running across the deepest investment datasets to identify tightly matched investors right down to the individual partner. It then creates tailored approaches based on the investor's thesis and current portfolio.

The copilots work as a system of intelligence, learning from one another, creating action loops and improvements rather than isolated critiques.

The overall objective is simple: We want founders to leverage the full power of AI in the funding process just as much as investors do.


Summary - where founders start

The takeaway is blunt: algorithms now guard the venture gates. From SignalFire’s Beacon to EQT’s Motherbrain, bots scrape, rank and score startups, automating the tasks humans once undertook. Founders cannot outrun that reality, but they can prepare for it.

• Scrub the digital exhaust. Crunchbase profiles, LinkedIn head‑count trends and GitHub pulse are the very first signals those crawlers see. Make sure they scream momentum, not mystery.

• Speak in data as well as narrative. A single tidy CSV of KPIs travels farther through an agent pipeline than ten immaculate slides.

• Rethink stealth mode. In an era of algorithmic sourcing, invisibility carries new danger: if the data spiders cannot see you, a human partner probably never will.

Everything beyond those hygiene wins is fund‑specific and shifts as fast as the models themselves. Stay alert, iterate fast, and remember: before you press send, assume an LLM reads your deck first. Spend that extra hour hardening the numbers - or risk being filtered out by a bot that never feels FOMO.


Let's talk.

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